The Striking Similarities Between Lion Air and Ethiopian 737 MAX Crashes
The Boeing 737 MAX is the latest mass-market jet, meant to easily transport passengers around the world.
And that's what it has been doing — safely — since its debut in 2017.
However, Sunday's crash of an Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX is the second fatal incident involving the aircraft type in just five months. It's way too soon to jump to any conclusions. But the similarities between the crashes are going to put additional focus on the popular jet that is now flown by more than 40 airlines around the world, including Southwest, American Airlines and United.
On October 29, 2018, Lion Air flight 610 crashed into the Java Sea just off of the coast of Indonesia, killing all 189 on board. Investigators have issued a preliminary report on that crash, but the final report is still pending.
On Sunday, Ethiopian Airlines flight 302 crashed minutes after takeoff killing all 157 passengers and crew on board. It's likely to be weeks before even a preliminary report is issued about the cause.
Here are some striking similarities based on what we know so far about the two crashes.
Both Aircraft Were Boeing 737 MAX 8s
Boeing's newest version in its 52-year series of 737 aircraft is the 737 MAX family, which consists of four different types of aircraft: MAX 7, MAX 8, MAX 9 and MAX 10, in order of size. More than 320 of the 350 Boeing MAX aircraft delivered through January 31, 2019, are of the MAX 8 variety; the rest are MAX 9s. The MAX 7 and 10 have not entered service yet. Both Boeing 737 MAX crashes have involved MAX 8 aircraft.
As of January 31, Boeing had more than 5,000 confirmed orders for 737 MAX aircraft. Now that two of just 350 delivered have crashed, questions might arise on future, or in some cases even existing, orders.
After initial reports revealed that Boeing failed to inform aircraft operators about a new system that may have played a part in the Lion Air crash, the Lion Air founder publicly stated that he wants to cancel all existing Boeing orders.
At the top of the list of 737 MAX operators are two US airlines: Southwest currently operates 34 Boeing 737 MAX 8s and American Airlines operates 22.
Both Crashes Happened Shortly After Takeoff
Lion Air flight 610 crashed just 13 minutes after takeoff while Ethiopian Airlines flight 302 disappeared from radar only six minutes after takeoff. It's worth noting that takeoffs and landings are the riskiest parts of any flight and where the majority of accidents occur.
Pilots Struggled to Maintain A Steady Climb
While we are still waiting for the final report from the Lion Air crash, it seems that a malfunction in the aircraft's angle of attack sensor mistook the normal takeoff climb as dangerous and forced the plane to pitch downward 26 different times.

It's unclear at this time if this system played any part in the Ethiopian Airlines crash. Investigators are likely to focus on the angle of attack sensor and the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System (MCAS) -- which forces the plane's nose down if it detects what it deems an unsafe angle with the ground -- as a potential cause. Initial data released by flight tracking website FlightRadar24 indicates that the pilots of flight 302 also struggled to initiate a normal climb after takeoff from Addis Ababa.

First Flights of the Day
It's unlikely that this is relevant to the cause of either crash, but it's interesting that both crashes involved the aircraft's first flight of the day. Lion Air flight 610 took off at 6:20am and lost contact at 6:33am. Ethiopian Airlines flight 302 lifted off at 8:38am before losing contact at 8:44am.
However, Lion Air's 737 MAX (registration PK-LQP) sat overnight in Jakarta for around seven hours before its flight. The Ethiopian aircraft had just arrived a couple of hours earlier from a red-eye flight from Johannesburg (JNB).
Weather Does NOT Seem To Be a Factor
In both the Lion Air and Ethiopian crashes, weather doesn't seem to have played any role. Indonesian meteorologists reported clear weather, light winds and good visibility in the area when the doomed Lion Air aircraft passed through. The same seems to be the case in the Ethiopian Airlines crash. The METeorological Aerodrome Report (METAR) for Addis Ababa airport indicated light winds, good visibility and scattered clouds.
For more information, read TPG's full coverage of the Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash and aftermath:
TPG featured card
Rewards
| 2X miles | 2 miles per dollar on every purchase |
| 5X miles | 5 miles per dollar on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel |
| 10X miles | 10 miles per dollar on hotels and rental cars booked through Capital One Business Travel |
Intro offer
Annual Fee
Recommended Credit
Why We Chose It
The Capital One Venture X Business Card has all the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card has to offer and more. It offers an incredible welcome bonus and requires an equally impressive spend to qualify. In addition, the card comes with premium travel perks like annual travel credit. (Partner offer)Pros
- The Capital One Venture X business card has a very lucrative welcome offer.
- In addition, the card comes with many premium travel perks such as an annual $300 credit for bookings through Capital One Business Travel.
- Business owners are also able to add employee cards for free.
Cons
- The card requires significant spending to earn the welcome offer.
- Another drawback is that the annual travel credit can only be used on bookings made through Capital One Business Travel.
- LIMITED-TIME OFFER: Earn up to 400K bonus miles: 200K miles when you spend $30K in the first 3 months, and an additional 200k miles when you spend $150k in the first 6 months
- Earn unlimited 2X miles on every purchase, everywhere—with no limits or category restrictions
- Earn 10X miles on hotels and rental cars and 5X miles on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel
- With no preset spending limit, enjoy big purchasing power that adapts so you can spend more and earn more rewards
- Empower your teams to make business purchases while earning rewards on their transactions, with free employee and virtual cards. Plus, automatically sync your transaction data with your accounting software and pay your vendors with ease
- Redeem your miles on flights, hotels and more. Plus, transfer your miles to any of the 15+ travel loyalty programs
- Every year, you'll get 10,000 bonus miles after your account anniversary date. Plus, receive an annual $300 credit for bookings made through Capital One Business Travel
- Receive up to a $120 credit for Global Entry or TSA PreCheck®. Enjoy access to 1,300+ airport lounges worldwide, including Capital One Lounge locations and Priority Pass™ lounges, after enrollment
- Enjoy a $100 experience credit and other premium benefits with every hotel and vacation rental booked from the Premier Collection
- This is a pay-in-full card, so your balance is due in full every month
Rewards Rate
| 2X miles | 2 miles per dollar on every purchase |
| 5X miles | 5 miles per dollar on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel |
| 10X miles | 10 miles per dollar on hotels and rental cars booked through Capital One Business Travel |
Intro Offer
Earn 200K miles when you spend $30K in the first 3 months, and an additional 200K miles when you spend $150K in the first 6 monthsLIMITED-TIME OFFER: Earn up to 400K bonus milesAnnual Fee
$395Recommended Credit
Credit ranges are a variation of FICO® Score 8, one of many types of credit scores lenders may use when considering your credit card application.740-850Excellent
Why We Chose It
The Capital One Venture X Business Card has all the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card has to offer and more. It offers an incredible welcome bonus and requires an equally impressive spend to qualify. In addition, the card comes with premium travel perks like annual travel credit. (Partner offer)Pros
- The Capital One Venture X business card has a very lucrative welcome offer.
- In addition, the card comes with many premium travel perks such as an annual $300 credit for bookings through Capital One Business Travel.
- Business owners are also able to add employee cards for free.
Cons
- The card requires significant spending to earn the welcome offer.
- Another drawback is that the annual travel credit can only be used on bookings made through Capital One Business Travel.
- LIMITED-TIME OFFER: Earn up to 400K bonus miles: 200K miles when you spend $30K in the first 3 months, and an additional 200k miles when you spend $150k in the first 6 months
- Earn unlimited 2X miles on every purchase, everywhere—with no limits or category restrictions
- Earn 10X miles on hotels and rental cars and 5X miles on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel
- With no preset spending limit, enjoy big purchasing power that adapts so you can spend more and earn more rewards
- Empower your teams to make business purchases while earning rewards on their transactions, with free employee and virtual cards. Plus, automatically sync your transaction data with your accounting software and pay your vendors with ease
- Redeem your miles on flights, hotels and more. Plus, transfer your miles to any of the 15+ travel loyalty programs
- Every year, you'll get 10,000 bonus miles after your account anniversary date. Plus, receive an annual $300 credit for bookings made through Capital One Business Travel
- Receive up to a $120 credit for Global Entry or TSA PreCheck®. Enjoy access to 1,300+ airport lounges worldwide, including Capital One Lounge locations and Priority Pass™ lounges, after enrollment
- Enjoy a $100 experience credit and other premium benefits with every hotel and vacation rental booked from the Premier Collection
- This is a pay-in-full card, so your balance is due in full every month

