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TSA screenings spiked over July 4 weekend, but it's still a long road to recovery

July 06, 2020
3 min read
Coronavirus Pandemic Causes Climate Of Anxiety And Changing Routines In America
TSA screenings spiked over July 4 weekend, but it's still a long road to recovery
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July 4 weekend saw a new travel record for 2020 in the U.S. Over the course of the holiday weekend, Transportation Security Administration screenings rose above 700,000 for the first time since the COVID-19 outbreak took root in the states.

But even the new high numbers are a harsh reminder of how little people are traveling this summer compared to the pre-pandemic normal.

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According to the TSA, 764,761 people passed through its airport checkpoints on July 2 this year, compared with almost 2.1 million on the same weekday in 2019. On July 5 2020, 732,123 people were screened, compared to almost 2.8 million on the same day last year.


But even these new highs are more muted than they could have been.

Related: Global Entry enrollment delayed again, until August 10.

Last month, Henry Harteveldt, president of travel industry analysis firm Atmosphere Research, told TPG that screening numbers might top 1 million over Independence Day weekend.

He predicted more communities around the country could be relaxing restrictions on social distancing and allowing tourism-friendly spots like restaurants and entertainment venues to reopen in time for the holiday.

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Instead, we're seeing the opposite.

Related: American will reduce staffing on flights to cut costs.

Screenings staying below 1 million this weekend can be explained by a variety of factors, Harteveldt said by email.

"Ongoing concerns about air travel combined with the virus resurgence in several states and travel restrictions remaining in place limiting international travel," he wrote.

Read more: United Airlines undeterred in August expansion by rising US coronavirus infections, E.U. ban.

So while the air travel recovery is generally trending upwards, the industry may have a long time to wait before a million people pass through the nation's airports on a single day again.

Helane Becker, an aviation analyst at Cowen, wrote in a report at the end of June that the million traveler milestone might not happen until Christmas.

Related: Hawaiian Airlines returns to Las Vegas, New York and 6 more U.S. cities in August.

"We would like to see a further step up in demand trends to get comfortable with a potential recovery to 1 MM passengers / day by the December holidays, but so far the recovery has been better than we suspected it would be," the report said. However, it cautioned, "news headlines remain negative with the U.S. setting new case records almost daily, led by Florida, Texas, Arizona and California. Economies in those states have been slowing their reopening timeline while also enacting further restrictions."

New restrictions and increasing case numbers could further slow or even temporarily reverse the recovery.

Featured image by Getty Images

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Apply for American Express® Gold Card
at American Express's secure site
Terms & restrictions apply. See rates & fees
Best for dining at restaurants
TPG Editor‘s Rating
4 / 5
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Rewards Rate

4XEarn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
4XEarn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
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1XEarn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases.
  • Intro Offer

    As High As 100,000 points. Find Out Your Offer.
  • Annual Fee

    $325
  • Recommended Credit

    Excellent to Good

Why We Chose It

There’s a lot to love about the Amex Gold. It’s a fan favorite thanks to its fantastic bonus-earning rates at restaurants worldwide and at U.S. supermarkets. If you’re hitting the skies soon, you’ll also earn bonus Membership Rewards points on travel. Paired with up to $120 in Uber Cash annually (for U.S. Uber rides or Uber Eats orders, card must be added to Uber app and you can redeem with any Amex card), up to $120 in annual dining statement credits to be used with eligible partners, an up to $84 Dunkin’ credit each year at U.S. Dunkin Donuts and an up to $100 Resy credit annually, there’s no reason that foodies shouldn’t add the Amex Gold to their wallet. These benefits alone are worth more than $400, which offsets the $325 annual fee on the Amex Gold card. Enrollment is required for select benefits. (Partner offer)

Pros

  • 4 points per dollar spent on dining at restaurants worldwide and U.S. supermarkets (on the first $50,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter and $25,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter, respectively)
  • 3 points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with the airline or with amextravel.com
  • Packed with credits foodies will enjoy
  • Solid welcome bonus

Cons

  • Not as useful for those living outside the U.S.
  • Some may have trouble using Uber and other dining credits
  • You may be eligible for as high as 100,000 Membership Rewards® Points after you spend $6,000 in eligible purchases on your new Card in your first 6 months of Card Membership. Welcome offers vary and you may not be eligible for an offer. Apply to know if you’re approved and find out your exact welcome offer amount – all with no credit score impact. If you’re approved and choose to accept the Card, your score may be impacted.
  • Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
  • Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
  • Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with airlines or on AmexTravel.com.
  • Earn 2X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on prepaid hotels and other eligible purchases booked on AmexTravel.com.
  • Earn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases.
  • $120 Uber Cash on Gold: Add your Gold Card to your Uber account and get $10 in Uber Cash each month to use on orders and rides in the U.S. when you select an American Express Card for your transaction. That’s up to $120 Uber Cash annually. Plus, after using your Uber Cash, use your Card to earn 4X Membership Rewards® points for Uber Eats purchases made with restaurants or U.S. supermarkets. Point caps and terms apply.
  • $84 Dunkin' Credit: With the $84 Dunkin' Credit, you can earn up to $7 in monthly statement credits after you enroll and pay with the American Express® Gold Card at U.S. Dunkin' locations. Enrollment is required to receive this benefit.
  • $100 Resy Credit: Get up to $100 in statement credits each calendar year after you pay with the American Express® Gold Card to dine at U.S. Resy restaurants or make other eligible Resy purchases. That's up to $50 in statement credits semi-annually. Enrollment required.
  • $120 Dining Credit: Satisfy your cravings, sweet or savory, with the $120 Dining Credit. Earn up to $10 in statement credits monthly when you pay with the American Express® Gold Card at Grubhub, The Cheesecake Factory, Goldbelly, Wine.com, and Five Guys. Enrollment required.
  • Explore over 1,000 upscale hotels worldwide with The Hotel Collection and receive a $100 credit towards eligible charges* with every booking of two nights or more through AmexTravel.com. *Eligible charges vary by property.
  • No Foreign Transaction Fees.
  • Annual Fee is $325.
  • Terms Apply.