What does the airline aid package mean for travelers? Not much
"This isn't really about consumers, as funny as that sounds."
That's how Brett Snyder, who runs The Cranky Flier blog and separate Cranky Concierge service, summed it up.
With an aid package worth $50 billion for airlines likely to be signed into law by the end of the week, TPG wanted to figure out what changes — or possibly luxuries — travelers might expect as a result of the cash infusion.
It turns out, any changes in the near term are likely to be minimal, and will probably go largely unnoticed by travelers.
Sign up for the free daily TPG newsletter for more airline news.
"I'd expect more flights to operate than demand would normally indicate," Snyder said in an email. "To me that's the biggest potential consumer impact."
Henry Harteveldt, a travel industry analyst and president of Atmosphere Research, agreed.
"What this means is there will be an airline industry when we come out of it. It doesn't guarantee the survival of any particular airline. It doesn't change the travel experience," he said.
Harteveldt also pointed out that airlines have already significantly reduced their networks and fleets, and even when the pandemic passes, the aviation landscape won't return to its pre-coronavirus peak.
Related: Some airlines have completely suspended service during the coronavirus pandemic.
"The airlines are putting themselves into a state of semi-hibernation," he said. "When we start to get positive news about removing shelter-in-place orders, when businesses start to remove their restrictions on travel, the airlines have to start putting Humpty Dumpty back together again."
But what the new normal looks like will largely be a factor of what level of demand exists after the pandemic.
"What will business travel look like? How soon will people start to travel again? How soon will companies start to remove restrictions on travel?" Harteveldt said. "The key to all of this will be the state of the economy and the speed of the recovery, not only of the economy, but of demand," and that's not something the current aid bill accounts for.

And, while the legislation is strong on worker protections — mandating that airlines maintain their employee rosters for a fixed period after receiving aid, for example — the bill contains no directives about things that passengers tend to focus on, like inflight service, seat pitch or ancillary fees.
"Airlines are not going to be obliged to change the fees they charge," Harteveldt said. "It doesn't force the airline to change the way they do business, and the airline industry fought back against government wishes to do that."
More:Airlines, airports consolidate terminal operations as passenger traffic craters
But that doesn't mean passengers won't see some indirect benefits of the aid to airlines in the future. Of course, keeping airlines afloat to continue their operations after the crisis is a good thing for travelers, but Harteveldt also said there will likely be some great travel deals in the future, too.
"I do think there will be some great financial bargains for travelers in terms of airfares, hotel rates, packages and more," he said. "There will probably be outstanding pricing from a consumer standpoint as airlines look to get people back on airplanes," and you couldn't get those cheap fares if there were no airlines to sell them.
TPG featured card
Rewards
| 2X miles | 2 miles per dollar on every purchase |
| 5X miles | 5 miles per dollar on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel |
| 10X miles | 10 miles per dollar on hotels and rental cars booked through Capital One Business Travel |
Intro offer
Annual Fee
Recommended Credit
Why We Chose It
The Capital One Venture X Business Card has all the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card has to offer and more. It offers an incredible welcome bonus and requires an equally impressive spend to qualify. In addition, the card comes with premium travel perks like annual travel credit. (Partner offer)Pros
- The Capital One Venture X business card has a very lucrative welcome offer.
- In addition, the card comes with many premium travel perks such as an annual $300 credit for bookings through Capital One Business Travel.
- Business owners are also able to add employee cards for free.
Cons
- The card requires significant spending to earn the welcome offer.
- Another drawback is that the annual travel credit can only be used on bookings made through Capital One Business Travel.
- LIMITED-TIME OFFER: Earn up to 400K bonus miles: 200K miles when you spend $30K in the first 3 months, and an additional 200k miles when you spend $150k in the first 6 months
- Earn unlimited 2X miles on every purchase, everywhere—with no limits or category restrictions
- Earn 10X miles on hotels and rental cars and 5X miles on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel
- With no preset spending limit, enjoy big purchasing power that adapts so you can spend more and earn more rewards
- Empower your teams to make business purchases while earning rewards on their transactions, with free employee and virtual cards. Plus, automatically sync your transaction data with your accounting software and pay your vendors with ease
- Redeem your miles on flights, hotels and more. Plus, transfer your miles to any of the 15+ travel loyalty programs
- Every year, you'll get 10,000 bonus miles after your account anniversary date. Plus, receive an annual $300 credit for bookings made through Capital One Business Travel
- Receive up to a $120 credit for Global Entry or TSA PreCheck®. Enjoy access to 1,300+ airport lounges worldwide, including Capital One Lounge locations and Priority Pass™ lounges, after enrollment
- Enjoy a $100 experience credit and other premium benefits with every hotel and vacation rental booked from the Premier Collection
- This is a pay-in-full card, so your balance is due in full every month
Rewards Rate
| 2X miles | 2 miles per dollar on every purchase |
| 5X miles | 5 miles per dollar on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel |
| 10X miles | 10 miles per dollar on hotels and rental cars booked through Capital One Business Travel |
Intro Offer
Earn 200K miles when you spend $30K in the first 3 months, and an additional 200K miles when you spend $150K in the first 6 monthsLIMITED-TIME OFFER: Earn up to 400K bonus milesAnnual Fee
$395Recommended Credit
Credit ranges are a variation of FICO® Score 8, one of many types of credit scores lenders may use when considering your credit card application.740-850Excellent
Why We Chose It
The Capital One Venture X Business Card has all the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card has to offer and more. It offers an incredible welcome bonus and requires an equally impressive spend to qualify. In addition, the card comes with premium travel perks like annual travel credit. (Partner offer)Pros
- The Capital One Venture X business card has a very lucrative welcome offer.
- In addition, the card comes with many premium travel perks such as an annual $300 credit for bookings through Capital One Business Travel.
- Business owners are also able to add employee cards for free.
Cons
- The card requires significant spending to earn the welcome offer.
- Another drawback is that the annual travel credit can only be used on bookings made through Capital One Business Travel.
- LIMITED-TIME OFFER: Earn up to 400K bonus miles: 200K miles when you spend $30K in the first 3 months, and an additional 200k miles when you spend $150k in the first 6 months
- Earn unlimited 2X miles on every purchase, everywhere—with no limits or category restrictions
- Earn 10X miles on hotels and rental cars and 5X miles on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel
- With no preset spending limit, enjoy big purchasing power that adapts so you can spend more and earn more rewards
- Empower your teams to make business purchases while earning rewards on their transactions, with free employee and virtual cards. Plus, automatically sync your transaction data with your accounting software and pay your vendors with ease
- Redeem your miles on flights, hotels and more. Plus, transfer your miles to any of the 15+ travel loyalty programs
- Every year, you'll get 10,000 bonus miles after your account anniversary date. Plus, receive an annual $300 credit for bookings made through Capital One Business Travel
- Receive up to a $120 credit for Global Entry or TSA PreCheck®. Enjoy access to 1,300+ airport lounges worldwide, including Capital One Lounge locations and Priority Pass™ lounges, after enrollment
- Enjoy a $100 experience credit and other premium benefits with every hotel and vacation rental booked from the Premier Collection
- This is a pay-in-full card, so your balance is due in full every month

