The TPG Staff's Predictions for Air Travel in 2018
2017 was a big year for air travel. We saw the introduction of outstanding premium products like Qatar's QSuite and an amazing revamp of Emirates first class. Low-cost carriers continued their expansion on long-haul routes and airfares stayed generally low throughout the year. We said goodbye to some airlines, like Air Berlin, and hello to a few more, like Joon and LEVEL. The 747 finished up its service with US airlines, with Delta retiring the Queen of Skies just earlier this month.
While 2017 included lots of big news for air travel, we are likely to see more changes in 2018. We've asked the TPG staff about what they think 2018 holds for air travel:
More insane first class suites
"With the introduction of Emirates insane new first class enclosed suite and Singapore's suite that's practically your own apartment, I think we may see a first class arms race. Your move, Qatar." Brendan Dorsey, Assistant Editor
"As US airlines scale back on their own underwhelming first-class offerings, international carriers are spending hundreds of millions of dollars to develop and build out products that are far more luxurious than anything we could have imagined even just a few years ago. Emirates and Singapore are leading the way, and will continue to add their new suites to new routes throughout 2018." Zach Honig, Editor-at-Large
Low-cost carriers continue to pop up and grow
"WOW and Norwegian have been expanding like crazy, adding new routes and increasing passenger loads. We'll probably see more routes operated by narrowbody aircraft that can now cross the Atlantic, à la Primera Air's A321 and Norwegian's 737 MAX." Brendan Dorsey, Assistant Editor
"In 2017, we saw the introduction/announcement of Joon, LEVEL, Jetlines, World Airways, Primera Air and more. At the same time, established LCC carriers have expanded operations, such as Norwegian. As the consumer looks for cheap airfare, the LCC model will continue to be appealing." Emily McNutt, Associate Editor
Basic economy will continue to expand, and more baggage fees
"Delta already announced plans to take its basic economy worldwide in 2018, and AA has started expanding beyond the US. What’s yet to be seen is how the basic economy offering for each carrier will change (if at all) over the coming year." Emily McNutt, Associate Editor
"With Delta now charging for checked bags on transatlantic flights, I think it's only a matter of time before American and United follow suit. Large flag carriers like TAP Portugal and Ireland's Aer Lingus have already started doing this." Brendan Dorsey, Assistant Editor
Biometrics will play a larger role in the passenger experience
"With the successful expansion of CLEAR to get through security fast and with a biometric scan, there is clearly a desire for biometric technology. Delta has been testing out biometrics a lot for boarding, bag-drop and lounge entry. In 2018, we’ll see more airlines test out the technology for a more seamless, speedy and paper-free passenger experience." Emily McNutt, Associate Editor
The Airbus 380 might officially get cut
"If Emirates doesn't order more, or Airbus doesn't relaunch the project with more fuel-efficient engines, then Airbus might announce the program will end." Alberto Riva, Managing Editor
Dreamliners will continue to fuel expansion and super long haul travel
"US and foreign airlines continue to embrace the efficiencies afforded by adding 787s to their fleets, making it economical to bypass hubs in order to offer more nonstop routes. We just heard about United’s plan to launch nonstop service to Tahiti, Norwegian continues its explosive growth and other carriers around the world are clearly committed to taking advantage of the plane’s economics to beat their competitors to the point-to-point punch." Zach Honig, Editor-at-Large
"Perth to London. The return of JFK to Singapore. Some insanely long nonstops will happen in 2018, and now they can really make money thanks to hyper-efficient twinjets. (See above, death of A380.) Get ready to stay in the air longer next year." Alberto Riva, Managing Editor
Airline profits will shrink
"Fuel prices will likely rise, so airlines will want to raise fares. But the proliferation of ultra low cost long-range carriers will work to keep prices low. So get ready to see two things: Fare wars to defend market share, and lower airline profits than the record highs seen over the past few years." Alberto Riva, Managing Editor
Cuba will see less service
"One or two US carriers will leave Cuba. Renewed political tensions and low load factors will cause one or two US carriers to stop servicing the country." Richard Kerr, Senior Points and Miles Contributor
More points devaluations
"More airline program devaluations — more carriers will raise award prices, hopefully not eliminating too many redemption sweet spots in the process." Sarah Silbert, Points and Miles Editor
"American miles will no longer be redeemable for Etihad flights. Given the popularity of this one-way frequent flyer relationship and recent troubles making these redemptions, Etihad will pull the plug on this capability." Richard Kerr, Senior Points and Miles Contributor
Illustration by Eirian Chapman.
TPG featured card
Rewards
| 4X | Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year. |
| 4X | Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year. |
| 3X | Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with airlines or on AmexTravel.com. |
| 2X | Earn 2X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on prepaid hotels and other eligible purchases booked on AmexTravel.com. |
| 1X | Earn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases. |
Intro offer
Annual Fee
Recommended Credit
Why We Chose It
There’s a lot to love about the Amex Gold. It’s a fan favorite thanks to its fantastic bonus-earning rates at restaurants worldwide and at U.S. supermarkets. If you’re hitting the skies soon, you’ll also earn bonus Membership Rewards points on travel. Paired with up to $120 in Uber Cash annually (for U.S. Uber rides or Uber Eats orders, card must be added to Uber app and you can redeem with any Amex card), up to $120 in annual dining statement credits to be used with eligible partners, an up to $84 Dunkin’ credit each year at U.S. Dunkin Donuts and an up to $100 Resy credit annually, there’s no reason that foodies shouldn’t add the Amex Gold to their wallet. These benefits alone are worth more than $400, which offsets the $325 annual fee on the Amex Gold card. Enrollment is required for select benefits. (Partner offer)Pros
- 4 points per dollar spent on dining at restaurants worldwide and U.S. supermarkets (on the first $50,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter and $25,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter, respectively)
- 3 points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with the airline or with amextravel.com
- Packed with credits foodies will enjoy
- Solid welcome bonus
Cons
- Not as useful for those living outside the U.S.
- Some may have trouble using Uber and other dining credits
- You may be eligible for as high as 100,000 Membership Rewards® Points after you spend $6,000 in eligible purchases on your new Card in your first 6 months of Card Membership. Welcome offers vary and you may not be eligible for an offer. Apply to know if you’re approved and find out your exact welcome offer amount – all with no credit score impact. If you’re approved and choose to accept the Card, your score may be impacted.
- Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
- Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
- Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with airlines or on AmexTravel.com.
- Earn 2X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on prepaid hotels and other eligible purchases booked on AmexTravel.com.
- Earn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases.
- $120 Uber Cash on Gold: Add your Gold Card to your Uber account and get $10 in Uber Cash each month to use on orders and rides in the U.S. when you select an American Express Card for your transaction. That’s up to $120 Uber Cash annually. Plus, after using your Uber Cash, use your Card to earn 4X Membership Rewards® points for Uber Eats purchases made with restaurants or U.S. supermarkets. Point caps and terms apply.
- $84 Dunkin' Credit: With the $84 Dunkin' Credit, you can earn up to $7 in monthly statement credits after you enroll and pay with the American Express® Gold Card at U.S. Dunkin' locations. Enrollment is required to receive this benefit.
- $100 Resy Credit: Get up to $100 in statement credits each calendar year after you pay with the American Express® Gold Card to dine at U.S. Resy restaurants or make other eligible Resy purchases. That's up to $50 in statement credits semi-annually. Enrollment required.
- $120 Dining Credit: Satisfy your cravings, sweet or savory, with the $120 Dining Credit. Earn up to $10 in statement credits monthly when you pay with the American Express® Gold Card at Grubhub, The Cheesecake Factory, Goldbelly, Wine.com, and Five Guys. Enrollment required.
- Explore over 1,000 upscale hotels worldwide with The Hotel Collection and receive a $100 credit towards eligible charges* with every booking of two nights or more through AmexTravel.com. *Eligible charges vary by property.
- No Foreign Transaction Fees.
- Annual Fee is $325.
- Terms Apply.
Rewards Rate
| 4X | Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year. |
| 4X | Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year. |
| 3X | Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with airlines or on AmexTravel.com. |
| 2X | Earn 2X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on prepaid hotels and other eligible purchases booked on AmexTravel.com. |
| 1X | Earn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases. |
Intro Offer
You may be eligible for as high as 100,000 Membership Rewards® Points after spending $6,000 in eligible purchases on your new Card in your first 6 months of Membership. Welcome offers vary and you may not be eligible for an offer.As High As 100,000 points. Find Out Your Offer.Annual Fee
$325Recommended Credit
Credit ranges are a variation of FICO® Score 8, one of many types of credit scores lenders may use when considering your credit card application.Excellent to Good
Why We Chose It
There’s a lot to love about the Amex Gold. It’s a fan favorite thanks to its fantastic bonus-earning rates at restaurants worldwide and at U.S. supermarkets. If you’re hitting the skies soon, you’ll also earn bonus Membership Rewards points on travel. Paired with up to $120 in Uber Cash annually (for U.S. Uber rides or Uber Eats orders, card must be added to Uber app and you can redeem with any Amex card), up to $120 in annual dining statement credits to be used with eligible partners, an up to $84 Dunkin’ credit each year at U.S. Dunkin Donuts and an up to $100 Resy credit annually, there’s no reason that foodies shouldn’t add the Amex Gold to their wallet. These benefits alone are worth more than $400, which offsets the $325 annual fee on the Amex Gold card. Enrollment is required for select benefits. (Partner offer)Pros
- 4 points per dollar spent on dining at restaurants worldwide and U.S. supermarkets (on the first $50,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter and $25,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter, respectively)
- 3 points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with the airline or with amextravel.com
- Packed with credits foodies will enjoy
- Solid welcome bonus
Cons
- Not as useful for those living outside the U.S.
- Some may have trouble using Uber and other dining credits
- You may be eligible for as high as 100,000 Membership Rewards® Points after you spend $6,000 in eligible purchases on your new Card in your first 6 months of Card Membership. Welcome offers vary and you may not be eligible for an offer. Apply to know if you’re approved and find out your exact welcome offer amount – all with no credit score impact. If you’re approved and choose to accept the Card, your score may be impacted.
- Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
- Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
- Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with airlines or on AmexTravel.com.
- Earn 2X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on prepaid hotels and other eligible purchases booked on AmexTravel.com.
- Earn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases.
- $120 Uber Cash on Gold: Add your Gold Card to your Uber account and get $10 in Uber Cash each month to use on orders and rides in the U.S. when you select an American Express Card for your transaction. That’s up to $120 Uber Cash annually. Plus, after using your Uber Cash, use your Card to earn 4X Membership Rewards® points for Uber Eats purchases made with restaurants or U.S. supermarkets. Point caps and terms apply.
- $84 Dunkin' Credit: With the $84 Dunkin' Credit, you can earn up to $7 in monthly statement credits after you enroll and pay with the American Express® Gold Card at U.S. Dunkin' locations. Enrollment is required to receive this benefit.
- $100 Resy Credit: Get up to $100 in statement credits each calendar year after you pay with the American Express® Gold Card to dine at U.S. Resy restaurants or make other eligible Resy purchases. That's up to $50 in statement credits semi-annually. Enrollment required.
- $120 Dining Credit: Satisfy your cravings, sweet or savory, with the $120 Dining Credit. Earn up to $10 in statement credits monthly when you pay with the American Express® Gold Card at Grubhub, The Cheesecake Factory, Goldbelly, Wine.com, and Five Guys. Enrollment required.
- Explore over 1,000 upscale hotels worldwide with The Hotel Collection and receive a $100 credit towards eligible charges* with every booking of two nights or more through AmexTravel.com. *Eligible charges vary by property.
- No Foreign Transaction Fees.
- Annual Fee is $325.
- Terms Apply.