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American Airlines 'not going away' because of the coronavirus crisis

May 20, 2020
5 min read
US-AVIATION-AMERICAN
American Airlines 'not going away' because of the coronavirus crisis
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Rumors have swirled about the viability of U.S. airlines since the leader of Boeing told the Today Show earlier this month that a major carrier would "most likely" fail as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.

No U.S. airline is doing well. Combined losses surpassed $5 billion in the first quarter alone, when COVID-19 only really kept would-be travelers home for a one month of the three month period. And even with the federal government's coronavirus aid package, the CARES Act, Wall Street analysts have repeatedly warned that the industry will need to significantly downsize by the end of the year.

American Airlines is one of the carriers the industry is keeping a close eye on. While it is the largest U.S. carrier by most measures, the airline also had more than double the amount of debt than competitor Delta Air Lines and nearly 40% more than United Airlines at the end of 2019. Those obligations, which must continue to be paid no matter how many flights American cancels or planes it parks, are at the center of concerns over its future.

Get Coronavirus travel updates. Stay on top of industry impacts, flight cancellations, and more.

"Number one, American is not going away," the Fort Worth, Texas-based carrier's chief financial officer Derek Kerr said in response to a question over the value of the AAdvantage frequent flyer program during the Wolfe Research Conference on Tuesday.

While Kerr was not speaking specifically to any rumors in the industry, the subtext for his comment was clearly to push back against speculation that American might be in deeper trouble than its peers.

Like most of its major competitors, American has slashed flights and parked hundreds of jets in an effort to slash costs amid the crisis. The airline will operate around 33% of its schedule in June — up from just 28% of flights in May —compared to to last year, according to Cirium schedules.

Related: What should you do with your miles if an airline is going bankrupt?

In addition, American has closed its Flagship Lounges and dining with executives saying Tuesday that they will not reopen until people are buying premium tickets at a level that warrants the reopening of lounges.

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And flyers accustomed to enjoying a wide-body Boeing 767 on flights between Miami (MIA) and New York John F. Kennedy (JFK) will be disappointed to know those planes are no more. American has retired its 767s from its fleet, along with at least four other aircraft types. More could be on the way.

American continues to hemorrhage money. The airline is on track to reduce daily losses to just $50 million a day in June, American president Robert Isom assured attendees at the conference. However, the number remains above those at its peers with both Delta and United targeting losses of just $40 million a day during the same period.

Related: American has ‘no plans’ to close hubs when it shrinks post-coronavirus

American has retired its Boeing 767 fleet. (Photo by Alberto Riva/The Points Guy)

Raymond James analysts estimate that American only has about six months of cash on hand to weather the crisis, according to a May 17 report. For comparison, Delta had about 11 months of cash and United roughly 10 months.

The bank's estimates do not include proceeds from the CARES Act. American has received $5.8 billion in payroll assistance from the government and may receive more loans.

But, airlines are seeing positive signs. Multiple executives have cited a small, if notable, uptick in bookings for the summer. This has prompted Delta to add around 100 domestic flights in June and United to move towards flying about a quarter of its schedule — up from just 10% of flights — in July.

On Tuesday, Southwest Airlines said its flights could be a third full in May, a 20-point improvement over its guidance in April. Flights could be even fuller in June if the trend continues.

Related: These are the only long-haul routes American, Delta and United plan to fly in May

American even plans to resume some key international routes to Europe and South America in June, as it begins to slowly build back its schedule.

In addition, American's fleet changes have accelerated a long-standing effort to simplify its fleet. Simplification will save it money on things like crew training and maintenance resources, but also allow it to reduce traveler disruption when something goes awry.

The airline will now fly a wide-body fleet exclusively made up of Boeing 777 and 787 jets. Prior to COVID-19, American said that it would begin offering an "enhanced" business-class seat on its new 787s beginning this year.

“We are going to go through and right-size this airline from a cost perspective... to make sure we’re a profitable airline next year," Kerr said Tuesday.

Related: Air travel won’t return to pre-coronvirus levels until 2023, IATA predicts

Featured image by AFP via Getty Images

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  • Annual Fee

    $325
  • Recommended Credit

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Why We Chose It

There’s a lot to love about the Amex Gold. It’s a fan favorite thanks to its fantastic bonus-earning rates at restaurants worldwide and at U.S. supermarkets. If you’re hitting the skies soon, you’ll also earn bonus Membership Rewards points on travel. Paired with up to $120 in Uber Cash annually (for U.S. Uber rides or Uber Eats orders, card must be added to Uber app and you can redeem with any Amex card), up to $120 in annual dining statement credits to be used with eligible partners, an up to $84 Dunkin’ credit each year at U.S. Dunkin Donuts and an up to $100 Resy credit annually, there’s no reason that foodies shouldn’t add the Amex Gold to their wallet. These benefits alone are worth more than $400, which offsets the $325 annual fee on the Amex Gold card. Enrollment is required for select benefits. (Partner offer)

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  • 3 points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with the airline or with amextravel.com
  • Packed with credits foodies will enjoy
  • Solid welcome bonus

Cons

  • Not as useful for those living outside the U.S.
  • Some may have trouble using Uber and other dining credits
  • You may be eligible for as high as 100,000 Membership Rewards® Points after you spend $6,000 in eligible purchases on your new Card in your first 6 months of Card Membership. Welcome offers vary and you may not be eligible for an offer. Apply to know if you’re approved and find out your exact welcome offer amount – all with no credit score impact. If you’re approved and choose to accept the Card, your score may be impacted.
  • Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
  • Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
  • Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with airlines or on AmexTravel.com.
  • Earn 2X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on prepaid hotels and other eligible purchases booked on AmexTravel.com.
  • Earn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases.
  • $120 Uber Cash on Gold: Add your Gold Card to your Uber account and get $10 in Uber Cash each month to use on orders and rides in the U.S. when you select an American Express Card for your transaction. That’s up to $120 Uber Cash annually. Plus, after using your Uber Cash, use your Card to earn 4X Membership Rewards® points for Uber Eats purchases made with restaurants or U.S. supermarkets. Point caps and terms apply.
  • $84 Dunkin' Credit: With the $84 Dunkin' Credit, you can earn up to $7 in monthly statement credits after you enroll and pay with the American Express® Gold Card at U.S. Dunkin' locations. Enrollment is required to receive this benefit.
  • $100 Resy Credit: Get up to $100 in statement credits each calendar year after you pay with the American Express® Gold Card to dine at U.S. Resy restaurants or make other eligible Resy purchases. That's up to $50 in statement credits semi-annually. Enrollment required.
  • $120 Dining Credit: Satisfy your cravings, sweet or savory, with the $120 Dining Credit. Earn up to $10 in statement credits monthly when you pay with the American Express® Gold Card at Grubhub, The Cheesecake Factory, Goldbelly, Wine.com, and Five Guys. Enrollment required.
  • Explore over 1,000 upscale hotels worldwide with The Hotel Collection and receive a $100 credit towards eligible charges* with every booking of two nights or more through AmexTravel.com. *Eligible charges vary by property.
  • No Foreign Transaction Fees.
  • Annual Fee is $325.
  • Terms Apply.