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Dynamic pricing vs. fuel surcharges — which is the lesser of two evils for your next redemption?

Oct. 03, 2024
8 min read
BEN SMITHSON/THE POINTS GUY
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Redeeming airline points and miles used to be so simple.

Once you had a destination in mind, you checked the award chart of your favorite program to see how many points or miles the program charged. Provided there was availability, you could book the flight for that fixed price plus a small amount of cash to cover mandatory government taxes and airport fees.

However, this value proposition became more complex over time. When global fuel prices rose, some programs added fuel surcharges to redemptions, arguing that providing these award seats was expensive (fuel usually being an airline’s biggest expense).

In theory, this was unwelcome but not unreasonable. The problem was that when fuel prices dropped, the surcharges did not. Many programs have now renamed these fuel surcharges "carrier-imposed surcharges,” as they bear no correlation with fuel prices.

Still, many airlines did not impose fuel surcharges. You could book a long-haul flight for as little as $5 in fees and taxes plus the points and miles, which was a great deal.

Then, the major U.S. airline programs started slowly but surely removing their award charts and switching to dynamic pricing. They reasoned that cash prices fluctuate depending on demand, so redemption levels should, too. During off-peak periods, members could still redeem their points and miles at the lowest levels, but when demand for seats increased, so did the amount of points and miles required.

If you have valuable transferable credit card points, you often have to choose between programs with fixed award charts but high surcharges and programs with low or no surcharges and dynamic pricing.

So, which is ultimately the better way to go?

Related: How much will your vacation really cost? The scourge of dynamic pricing is spreading like wildfire

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Business class to Europe

CHUNYIP WONG/GETTY IMAGES

Let’s first look at your options to book business-class flights from New York to London in May 2025. You could transfer your credit card points to a program with dynamic pricing, like Delta SkyMiles, which doesn’t charge fuel surcharges. Fuel surcharges to this destination are higher because of the United Kingdom’s Air Passenger Duty tax.

While the cash required is only $376.60, you’ll need a whopping 475,000 SkyMiles per person round-trip.

DELTA AIR LINES

Alternatively, you could transfer your credit card points to a program that has a fixed award chart but adds surcharges, such as Virgin Atlantic Flying Club, the program for Delta Air Lines' SkyTeam partner Virgin Atlantic.

Virgin Atlantic adds an eye-watering $2,000 as a carrier-imposed surcharge. However, you’ll only need to part with 95,000 Virgin points, compared with the more than 475,000 SkyMiles option above on the same round-trip New York-to-London option.

VIRGIN ATLANTIC

So, which is the better option? Let’s estimate each cost using TPG’s September 2024 valuations.

  • Redeeming Delta miles: 475,000 multiplied by 1.2 cents plus $376.50 equals $6,076.50
  • Redeeming Virgin points: 95,000 multiplied by 1.4 cents plus $2,450.90 equals $3,780.90

In this case, booking with Virgin Atlantic Flying Club would provide much better value. Although a huge surcharge is needed, it requires a fraction of the points.

This redemption is still costly, so checking the cash fares on the same dates is worth checking. With Delta offering nonstop business-class flights for $3,555.40 round-trip, paying cash could make more sense since you will also earn SkyMiles for this cash fare.

DELTA AIR LINES

Let’s look at another example. American Airlines AAdvantage currently uses dynamic pricing for flights operated by American Airlines but has retained an award chart for partner airlines (passing on the surcharges where the operating carrier would charge its members the surcharges).

Let's look at a one-way business-class redemption from Denver International Airport (DEN) to Paris-Charles de Gaulle Airport (CDG) in April 2025. As there are no nonstop options bookable through AAdvantage, you could choose to fly British Airways via London or American Airlines via Dallas. The British Airways option is priced using an award chart, so fewer miles are required, but the surcharges are greater; the American-operated option is priced dynamically but without surcharges, so more miles but less cash are required.

AMERICAN AIRLINES

Here is the cost of each, using TPG’s September 2024 valuations.

  • Redeeming AAdvantage miles flying American Airlines: 248,000 multiplied by 1.6 cents plus $5.60 equals $3,973.60
  • Redeeming AAdvantage miles flying British Airways: 57,500 multiplied by 1.6 cents plus $752.60 equals $1,672.60

Again, in this example, it would be a much better deal to choose the surcharges option, as you won't be using nearly as many miles. This would be an excellent redemption, with one-way cash fares starting from $3,800 on the same dates.

Premium economy to Dubai

ERIC ROSEN/THE POINTS GUY

With United Airlines’ nonstop service from Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) to Dubai International Airport (DXB) now operational, let’s compare the cost of flying the route in premium economy in January 2025, an excellent time to visit sunny Dubai. You could book through United MileagePlus for 233,100 miles plus a low $58.90 in fees and taxes, as United does not charge surcharges.

UNITED AIRLINES

Alternatively, you could book through a program with a fixed award chart, like British Airways Executive Club. This program charges fewer Avios (170,000) but adds 610 British pounds ($854) in taxes, fees and surcharges for a similar route that is not direct.

BRITISH AIRWAYS

Using TPG’s September 2024 valuations again, here is the cost between the two redemption options:

  • Redeeming United miles: 223,100 multiplied by 1.35 plus $58.90 equals $3,070.75
  • Redeeming British Airways Avios: 170,000 multiplied by 1.4 plus $718 equals $3,098

In this instance, both options are equal, noting that the United flight is probably preferable, as it is nonstop. But again, check the cash fares, as there is the option of flying on the nonstop United flight in premium economy and flying back on a combination of Swiss and United via Zurich Airport (ZRH) for under $2,000 round-trip.

GOOGLE FLIGHTS

How to earn transferable points

Transfer partners differ from card issuer to card issuer, but here are some of our favorite cards offering strong welcome bonuses you can convert to some, if not all, of the programs discussed above:

The information for the Ink Business Preferred has been collected independently by The Points Guy. The card details on this page have not been reviewed or provided by the card issuer.

Related: Why transferable points are worth more than other rewards

Bottom line

The great and terrible thing about dynamic pricing is that it wildly fluctuates daily. If you travel in off-peak times (such as to Europe in winter), these dynamic prices may be close to the old award chart prices. Combined with low fees and taxes, this can be a terrific way to redeem your points and miles.

If you want to travel when demand is high, choosing a program with fixed award charts can be better. This way, you know you will pay a reasonable amount of points and miles, even if the surcharges are high. If in doubt, do the math using our valuation of points and miles, as we did above.

As always, it is a good idea to check award availability before transferring credit card points to any program, as the transfers cannot be reversed if you're unable to find award availability through your chosen program. Also, check cash fares, as you may be able to find a reasonable cash option instead.

Featured image by BEN SMITHSON/THE POINTS GUY
Editorial disclaimer: Opinions expressed here are the author’s alone, not those of any bank, credit card issuer, airline or hotel chain, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any of these entities.

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Apply for American Express® Gold Card
at American Express's secure site
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Best for dining at restaurants
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Rewards Rate

4XEarn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
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  • Intro Offer

    As High As 100,000 points. Find Out Your Offer.
  • Annual Fee

    $325
  • Recommended Credit

    Excellent to Good

Why We Chose It

There’s a lot to love about the Amex Gold. It’s a fan favorite thanks to its fantastic bonus-earning rates at restaurants worldwide and at U.S. supermarkets. If you’re hitting the skies soon, you’ll also earn bonus Membership Rewards points on travel. Paired with up to $120 in Uber Cash annually (for U.S. Uber rides or Uber Eats orders, card must be added to Uber app and you can redeem with any Amex card), up to $120 in annual dining statement credits to be used with eligible partners, an up to $84 Dunkin’ credit each year at U.S. Dunkin Donuts and an up to $100 Resy credit annually, there’s no reason that foodies shouldn’t add the Amex Gold to their wallet. These benefits alone are worth more than $400, which offsets the $325 annual fee on the Amex Gold card. Enrollment is required for select benefits. (Partner offer)

Pros

  • 4 points per dollar spent on dining at restaurants worldwide and U.S. supermarkets (on the first $50,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter and $25,000 in purchases per calendar year; then 1 point per dollar spent thereafter, respectively)
  • 3 points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with the airline or with amextravel.com
  • Packed with credits foodies will enjoy
  • Solid welcome bonus

Cons

  • Not as useful for those living outside the U.S.
  • Some may have trouble using Uber and other dining credits
  • You may be eligible for as high as 100,000 Membership Rewards® Points after you spend $6,000 in eligible purchases on your new Card in your first 6 months of Card Membership. Welcome offers vary and you may not be eligible for an offer. Apply to know if you’re approved and find out your exact welcome offer amount – all with no credit score impact. If you’re approved and choose to accept the Card, your score may be impacted.
  • Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on purchases at restaurants worldwide, on up to $50,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
  • Earn 4X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent at US supermarkets, on up to $25,000 in purchases per calendar year, then 1X points for the rest of the year.
  • Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on flights booked directly with airlines or on AmexTravel.com.
  • Earn 2X Membership Rewards® points per dollar spent on prepaid hotels and other eligible purchases booked on AmexTravel.com.
  • Earn 1X Membership Rewards® point per dollar spent on all other eligible purchases.
  • $120 Uber Cash on Gold: Add your Gold Card to your Uber account and get $10 in Uber Cash each month to use on orders and rides in the U.S. when you select an American Express Card for your transaction. That’s up to $120 Uber Cash annually. Plus, after using your Uber Cash, use your Card to earn 4X Membership Rewards® points for Uber Eats purchases made with restaurants or U.S. supermarkets. Point caps and terms apply.
  • $84 Dunkin' Credit: With the $84 Dunkin' Credit, you can earn up to $7 in monthly statement credits after you enroll and pay with the American Express® Gold Card at U.S. Dunkin' locations. Enrollment is required to receive this benefit.
  • $100 Resy Credit: Get up to $100 in statement credits each calendar year after you pay with the American Express® Gold Card to dine at U.S. Resy restaurants or make other eligible Resy purchases. That's up to $50 in statement credits semi-annually. Enrollment required.
  • $120 Dining Credit: Satisfy your cravings, sweet or savory, with the $120 Dining Credit. Earn up to $10 in statement credits monthly when you pay with the American Express® Gold Card at Grubhub, The Cheesecake Factory, Goldbelly, Wine.com, and Five Guys. Enrollment required.
  • Explore over 1,000 upscale hotels worldwide with The Hotel Collection and receive a $100 credit towards eligible charges* with every booking of two nights or more through AmexTravel.com. *Eligible charges vary by property.
  • No Foreign Transaction Fees.
  • Annual Fee is $325.
  • Terms Apply.