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United Airlines to extend coronavirus-related capacity cuts into summer

March 10, 2020
4 min read
United Airlines to extend coronavirus-related capacity cuts into summer
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U.S. airlines are taking actions unseen since the days following the 9/11 attacks as they attempt to minimize the impact from the dramatic drop in bookings amid traveler fears of the novel coronavirus outbreak.

United Airlines was the first to unveil sweeping cuts to its schedules when it said earlier this month that it would reduce international flying by 20% and domestic by 10% in April. JetBlue Airways promptly joined them, and Alaska Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines and Spirit Airlines unveiled their own reductions this week.

United's April cuts are only the beginning for the Chicago-based carrier. The airline is working on a roughly 20% systemwide capacity reduction in May, and further reductions of a similar magnitude monthly through the summer, United president — and future CEO — Scott Kirby told investors at the J.P. Morgan Industrials Conference on Tuesday.

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"This is a crisis that’s going to have a large near-term impact on revenue," he said. "While we expect the duration to be short, it’s going to be deep.”

Kirby did not comment on what flights or routes will be cut in May and through the summer. The airline axed 13 routes in addition to those already cut to Asia and Italy in April, and trimmed frequencies on more than 160 routes around its network.

American also sees COVID-19 fears depressing travel through the summer. Speaking at the same J.P. Morgan conference, the Oneworld carrier's network head Vasu Raja said American is planning its 7.5% domestic capacity reduction and 10% international reduction "all the way through the IATA summer, [until] Oct. 25.”

Related: Coronavirus-related U.S. airline flight suspensions and waivers

No other U.S. airline has yet to plan for systemwide capacity cuts through the summer. However, executives at all of the airlines that spoke at the J.P. Morgan event said they are watching demand closely and are prepared to make further cuts.

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Alaska plans to cut capacity by roughly 3.2% in May, executives said Tuesday. Delta is planning a 15% system capacity cut before summer though executives did not provide a specific timeline. JetBlue's 5% capacity reduction applies to its March through mid-May schedule. And Spirit is reducing its April schedule by roughly 5%.

As of noon Tuesday, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported 647 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 25 deaths in the U.S. These numbers are up dramatically since the first case not directly connected to the initial outbreak in China was reported at the end of February.

Related: United Airlines suspends 13 routes amid coronavirus response

The severe drop in passenger bookings are driving airlines' capacity cuts. Executives at both Delta and United said Tuesday that domestic bookings are down by at least 25% over the past two weeks — a dramatic drop in an industry that saw strong demand in both January and February before the impact of COVID-19 was felt domestically.

United sees an even more dire environment. The airline is planning for demand to be down 70% year-over-year in both April and May, before slowly recovering to down roughly 20% by December, said Kirby. For comparison, demand fell by roughly 40% in the months immediately following 9/11.

“The demand scenario is not a forecast but what we’re planning for under a dire stress test scenario," he said. "It’s far better to be too aggressive than not aggressive enough.”

United, for its part, expects the recovery from the COVID-19 fears to take around 18 months — or until around September 2021 — said Kirby.

Related: US airline execs warn coronavirus impact ‘could be worse than 9/11’ downturn

Featured image by Getty Images

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Best for the well-traveled foodie
TPG Editor‘s Rating
Card Rating is based on the opinion of TPG‘s editors and is not influenced by the card issuer.
4 / 5
Go to review

Rewards Rate

4XEarn 4X Membership Rewards® Points at Restaurants, plus takeout and delivery in the U.S.
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    Earn 60,000 Membership Rewards® points after you spend $4,000 on eligible purchases with your new Card within the first 6 months of Card Membership.

    60,000 bonus points
  • Annual Fee

    $250
  • Recommended Credit
    Credit ranges are a variation of FICO© Score 8, one of many types of credit scores lenders may use when considering your credit card application.

    670-850
    Excellent/Good

Why We Chose It

There's a lot to love about the Amex Gold card. It's been a fan favorite during the pandemic because of its fantastic rewards rate on restaurants (that includes takeout and delivery in the U.S.!) and U.S. supermarkets. If you're hitting the skies soon, you'll also earn bonus points on travel. Paired with up to $120 in Uber Cash (for U.S. Uber rides or Uber Eats orders) and up to $120 in annual dining statement credits at eligible partners, there's no reason that the foodie shouldn't add this card to their wallet. Enrollment required.

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Cons

  • Weak on travel outside of flights and everyday spending bonus categories
  • Not as useful for those living outside the U.S.
  • Some may have trouble using Uber/food credits
  • Few travel perks and protections
  • Earn 60,000 Membership Rewards® points after you spend $4,000 on eligible purchases with your new Card within the first 6 months of Card Membership.
  • Earn 4X Membership Rewards® Points at Restaurants, plus takeout and delivery in the U.S., and earn 4X Membership Rewards® points at U.S. supermarkets (on up to $25,000 per calendar year in purchases, then 1X).
  • Earn 3X Membership Rewards® points on flights booked directly with airlines or on amextravel.com.
  • $120 Uber Cash on Gold: Add your Gold Card to your Uber account and each month automatically get $10 in Uber Cash for Uber Eats orders or Uber rides in the U.S., totaling up to $120 per year.
  • $120 Dining Credit: Satisfy your cravings and earn up to $10 in statement credits monthly when you pay with the American Express® Gold Card at Grubhub, The Cheesecake Factory, Goldbelly, Wine.com, Milk Bar and select Shake Shack locations. Enrollment required.
  • Choose the color that suits your style. Gold or Rose Gold.
  • No Foreign Transaction Fees.
  • Annual Fee is $250.
  • Terms Apply.
  • See Rates & Fees