The fall of Afghanistan; How pilots deal with sudden airspace closures

Aug 16, 2021

On Sunday, the Taliban seized power in Afghanistan, leading the airspace over the country to be declared uncontrolled.

While the move has major consequences for the regional political and humanitarian landscape, it also has an impact on global airlines. The airspace over the region is already a cramped one, with many carriers avoiding the airspace above Iran and Iraq. Now, add Afghanistan to that list.

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Afghanistan lies in a key geographical area for air travel, linking Europe and North America in the west with India, Malaysia and farther east. On a normal day, hundreds of flights would pass through Afghan airspace, as it provides the most direct routing between key cities in these regions.

The map below shows the geographic location of Afghanistan and the most direct routing for flights between New York-JFK and Mumbai, India (BOM); Frankfurt, Germany (FRA) and Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia (KUL); London Heathrow (LHR) and New Delhi (DEL); and Paris (CDG) and Singapore (SIN).

The geographic location of Afghanistan and its key position in linking the east with the west. (Screenshot courtesy of Google Maps)

As you can see, all these flights would ideally route through Afghan airspace, keeping the flight time to a minimum and, as a result, reducing overall costs.

Images from FlightRadar24 at 14:00 Greenwich Mean Time on this day last week showed a number of aircraft still flying this route.

Aircraft routing through Afghan airspace on 10 August 2021 (Screenshot courtesy of FlightRadar24)

However, a recent Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) published on the Afghanistan Civil Aviation Authority website states that “Kabul airspace has been released to the military. Advise transit aircraft to reroute. Any transit through Kabul airspace will be uncontrolled. Surrounding FIRS (flight information region) have been advised.”

As a result, all aircraft are now avoiding Afghan airspace and the picture today looks very different:

Empty Afghan airspace on 10 August 2021 (Image

So, what does this mean for pilots and how will it affect flights that were due to transit through Afghan airspace?

What is airspace?

Like the road system on the ground, the air above your head is divided up and classified into different ‘airspace’ depending on what type of aircraft can use it.

The details of this are really quite complex and differ around the world, so to keep things simple we’ll just look at the airspace used by airlines for international flights.

Related: Inside the room where the FAA controls airspace

To keep these commercial flights safe, Air Traffic Control (ATC) is responsible for controlling the aircraft while they are in its airspace. As a result, this is known as “controlled airspace.”

Here, ATC is responsible for ensuring that vertical and lateral separation is maintained between aircraft. This is normally done with the use of radar systems.

Even in areas where there is no radar coverage, such as over the North Atlantic, ATC is still responsible for ensuring safe separation between aircraft.

In some areas, however — particularly closer to the ground and away from large airports, as there is little commercial traffic — there is little point in ATC trying to control these areas. As a result, it’s known as uncontrolled airspace. The key point to note here is that any aircraft is still allowed to fly in this airspace, however, the pilots are responsible for keeping their own separation from other aircraft.

This isn’t too much of a problem when you’re bumbling along at 90 miles per hour in a single-engine propeller aircraft. But, it’s a very different game when flying at 600 miles per hour in an airliner.

As a result, most airlines will avoid flying in uncontrolled airspace as the safety of the flight will be massively reduced. The only large aircraft that tend to fly in uncontrolled airspace are private jets landing at smaller airfields.

Who decides where to fly?

Before each departure, the flight planning department in the airline is responsible for finding the most efficient route between the origin and the destination. The most direct route, known as the Great Circle route, is normally the most efficient.

However, the flight planners also have to consider other factors such as the wind and closed or dangerous airspace.

Since Malaysian Airlines flight MH17 was shot down over eastern Ukraine in 2014, most airlines made the decision not to fly through this airspace.

As a result, flight planners must find an alternative route, normally farther to the south through Turkey, as seen in the image below.

This increases the flight time and costs more in fuel — but safety is always the top priority for airlines and pilots.

London Heathrow to Singapore showing the flight routing away from Ukraine and through Turkey (Screenshot courtesy of FlightRadar24)

From Turkey, the flight is then routed into Georgia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and then down to Singapore.

However, the closure of Afghan airspace has thrown a further spanner in the works. Normally, an alternative route would be to fly from Turkey down through Iran and into Pakistan or failing that, through Iraq and over the Gulf and the Arabian Sea.

Related: Some airlines avoiding Iranian airspace

But due to the security situation in both those countries, many airlines have already opted to avoid flying through their airspace.

As a result, flights need to route even farther south, through Egypt and Saudi Arabia, massively increasing the flight time and cost of the flight, as shown in the image below.

London Heathrow to Singapore, avoiding Ukraine, Afghanistan, Iran and Iraq. (Screenshot courtesy of FlightRadar24)

Not only does this impact the airline’s operation, but it also has knock-on effects on the surrounding countries. Each time a flight transits a country’s airspace, the airline must pay them a certain fee to do so — very much like a toll road.

As seen in the images above, normally flights would route through Turkey, into Georgia, then Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan before crossing Afghanistan and into Pakistan.

With the closure of Afghan airspace, however, flights will no longer route through all the aforementioned countries, meaning they’ll lose out on a significant income from the overflight charges.

In addition, fewer flights in one geographic area means more in another area. With more flights deciding to route via Egypt and Saudia Arabia, congestion can occur and result in delays. So, not only will the flight be longer, but it is more likely to be subject to an ATC ‘slot’ delay before even leaving the gate.

What happens if airspace closes while a flight is airborne?

Planning to avoid areas of closed airspace is all well and good before departure, but what happens if an area of airspace closes or becomes uncontrolled once the flight has already departed?

Flying an aircraft around the world is like a game of 3D chess. It’s a dynamic situation with any number of variables that must always be taken into consideration. Anything that affects the safety of the aircraft must always be given priority.

Pilots can use the SatCom to stay in touch with the Operations Department. (Image Charlie Page/The Points Guy)

From the moment a flight leaves the gate, the pilots are always in communication with not only ATC but also with their flight planning or dispatch office at the airline’s operations center. Here, flight planners or dispatchers constantly monitor the global situation, looking out for anything that may affect the safety of the flight.

If a situation develops that may result in changes to the airspace through which a flight is planned to transit, they are able to take action to plan a new route and inform the pilots. This isn’t always down to something as extreme as we are seeing in Afghanistan right now; normally, it’s due to bad weather, aircraft congestion or a volcanic eruption.

The operations center is able to send a message very much like an email to inform the crew of the developing situation.

Planning a new route

With this information at hand, the crew can start to come up with a plan. Ultimately, the captain is in charge of the safety of the aircraft, so whatever decision is made, the safety of the aircraft and its occupants must come first.

As a result, there is never one clear cut solution to solve a problem. All options will be considered by the crew and what they deem to be the best plan will be put into action.

Ideally, this would be to plan a new route with ATC, keeping them clear of the problematic airspace.

However, adding hundreds of extra miles to the route not only costs time, but it also costs fuel. Fuel which, once airborne, is limited.

As a result, there must be enough fuel onboard the aircraft to enable the crew to fly the reroute. Fortunately, we never take off with the minimum amount of fuel required. All flights must carry a certain amount of ‘contingency fuel’ to allow for deviations from the flight plan. This contingency fuel is normally around 5% of the fuel required to fly from the origin to the destination.

What if this contingency fuel is still not enough?

As pilots, we have a responsibility to arrive at the destination airfield with a certain amount of fuel onboard. We are not allowed to arrive with our tanks nearly empty. In normal situations, we plan to arrive at the destination with enough fuel to divert to another airport and also what is known as our ‘final reserve’ — enough fuel for 30 minutes of flying time.

However, we must always ensure that we land with at least our final reserve. If we estimate that we’ll land below final reserve fuel, we must declare an emergency. This is not a situation most pilots will ever experience in their entire careers.

As a result, if the required reroute will result in us arriving at the destination with less than the final reserve, we are unable to continue the flight. In this situation, we must decide to land at another airport along our route. This will involve speaking to the operations department, either via the email system or over the satellite phone and deciding on a plan which best suits the passengers and operation alike.

Bottom line

No matter how well we prepare for a flight, the goalposts can move at a moment’s notice. As a result, one of the key skills to being a good airline pilot is the ability to be flexible and adaptable.

Airspace closures are just one of the factors that can change the course of a flight. As a result, all flights carry extra fuel.

However, there’s only so much extra fuel a flight can carry and in extreme circumstances, the flight may not be able to continue to its destination but must divert to another airport instead.

This is never a desirable option, but when flight safety is the most important factor, sometimes we have to make tough decisions to ensure that we keep everyone on our aircraft safe.

Featured image by Charlie Page/The Points Guy

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