Could Chinese space debris really disrupt your flight this weekend?
Security lines. Lost luggage.Flight cancellations. Melting runways. We've seen all kinds of issues hampering our ability to fly this summer — but we sure didn't have space debris on our 2022 bingo card.
A Chinese rocket is expected to hurtle back into the Earth's atmosphere this weekend, with the potential to affect scheduled flights around the globe.
According to the EU's Space Surveillance and Tracking (EU SST), the rocket is estimated to start re-entry at around 12:24 a.m. GMT (7:24 p.m. EDT). The cosmic detritus, it says, is the "largest pieces of debris re-entering in the near past" and "therefore deserves careful monitoring."
In the U.K, its Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) has said: "The potential re-entry path does not bring any debris over the U.K. but could impact flights planned through Bulgaria, France, Greece, Italy, Malta, Portugal and Spain. Operators are advised to monitor the situation carefully."
How likely is it that debris could strike a flight, you ask? Highly, almost ridiculously, unlikely.
One industry source familiar with the situation told TPG that customers "shouldn't worry."
The rocket itself is China's Long March 5B, which was fired last Sunday, July 24, in order to send the Wentian module to the Tiangong Space Station.
Weighing 23 tons, the booster could land anywhere between 42 degrees north and south of the equator, re-entering the earth's atmosphere at a height of 80 km, authorities say.
So far it's estimated that the debris will have a tumbling speed of 3.3 seconds per revolution, "which suggests a fairly fast rotation," according to the EU SST.
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